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Four stocks to watch for macro signals
  + stars: | 2024-05-14 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailFour stocks to watch for macro signalsJake Schurmeier, Harbor Capital Advisors portfolio manager, joins CNBC's 'The Exchange' to discuss what stocks he's watching, the path to a Fed rate cut, and more.
Persons: Jake Schurmeier Organizations: Harbor Capital Advisors
In this videoShare Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailNvidia has 'remarkably high' standards to beat ahead, says Harbor Capital's Jake SchurmeierJake Schurmeier, Harbor Capital Advisors portfolio manager, joins 'The Exchange' to discuss the future outlook on Nvidia's stock, whether tech stocks may represent a bubble, and more.
Persons: Jake Schurmeier Jake Schurmeier Organizations: Nvidia, Harbor Capital Advisors
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailThe likelihood of fewer than three rate cuts in 2024: Here's what you need to knowJake Schurmeier, Harbor Capital Advisors portfolio manager, and CNBC's Steve Liesman join 'The Exchange' to discuss the potential timing of Fed rate cuts, the relationships between equity markets and inflation, and more.
Persons: Jake Schurmeier, Steve Liesman Organizations: Harbor Capital Advisors
Asset manager Impax has debuted a new socially responsible investing strategy, allowing investors to support companies with a track record of employee satisfaction. "The market typically ignores culture," said Fairbanks, who worked in sustainable investing for more than a decade before joining Impax. This strategy has evolved into the Impax Global Social Leaders Fund (IGSLX) launched late last year. To rank companies, Impax found relevant data from third-party sources before diving into fundamental research. A look inside the fund There are some stocks in the fund that Fairbanks sees as particularly exemplary of the broader strategy.
Persons: Impax, Amber Fairbanks, Fairbanks, it's Organizations: Impax, Social Leaders Fund, It's, Harbor Capital Advisors, Fairbanks, Nvidia Locations: MSCI
Executives don't need to worry about Irrational misrepresenting their company, and participation can open them up to potential inclusion in products such as an ETF, van Adelsberg said. In total, the ETF recently held nearly 150 equities and is benchmarked to the CIBC Human Capital Index. Still, the team noted some challenges in building broader awareness of what human capital is or why it matters. "In this market, what we're seeing is that those companies who have strong human capital ratings are outperforming," van Adelsberg said. "The role that human capital plays in driving future equity performance isn't going down.
Persons: doesn't, Kristof Gleich, , it's, Gleich, , Morningstar, HAPI, David van Adelsberg, van Adelsberg, Eli Lilly, Johnson, Berkshire Hathaway, JPMorgan Chase, they've, It's Organizations: Capital Factor, Capital Advisors, Irrational, ETF, Microsoft, Apple, Nvidia, Meta, Morningstar, Mastercard, Berkshire, CIBC Human, JPMorgan, Securities, Exchange
NEW YORK, Sept 27 (Reuters) - As the Federal Reserve’s hawkish stance boosts Treasury yields and slams stocks, some investors are preparing for more pain ahead. AQR's analysis showed that trend-following hedge funds tend to outperform when rates are elevated, as they hold large cash positions that benefit from higher rates. Of course, plenty of investors believe the Fed will cut rates as soon as economic growth starts to wobble. Futures tied to the Fed’s key policy rate show investors pricing in the first rate cut in July 2024. Still, he has been holding off on adding to the firm’s holdings of small-cap consumer stocks, wary there may be more market volatility ahead as investors digest higher rates and other factors, including elevated energy prices.
Persons: , Jake Schurmeier, Dan Villalon, Keith Lerner, Lerner, Robert Pavlik, Schurmeier, he’s, Eric Kuby, Lewis Krauskopf, David Randall, Carolina, Ira Iosebashvili, Leslie Adler Organizations: Fed, Apple, Nvidia, Treasury, U.S ., Harbor Capital Advisors, AQR Capital Management, Advisory Services, Reuters, Dakota Wealth Management, BofA Global Research, Nasdaq, North Star Investment Management Corp, Thomson Locations: Harbor
Now, the inverse has happened as stocks rally, inflation steadily falls, and the labor market stays healthy. By any historical measure, this is still a really strong labor market," he said. "There's a lot of market concern — understandably so — about the sustainability of the strong labor market," Porter said. "There are clear signs that we're weakening at the margin," Schurmeier said of the labor market. "And they're able to thread the needle on the other part of their mandate, which is the labor market."
Persons: John Porter, Jason Draho, Porter, David Lebovitz, Lebovitz, they're, Draho, Jonathan Curtis, Curtis, Brent Schutte, Schutte, Jake Schurmeier, Schurmeier, they'll, shouldn't, Charles Lemonides, Lemonides, Greg Calnon, Calnon, Franklin Equity Group's Curtis, he's Organizations: Newton Investment Management, UBS Global Wealth, Asset Management, Franklin Equity Group, Workers, Northwestern, Harbor Capital Advisors, Fed, Goldman Sachs Asset Management, Franklin Equity
Wednesday’s data showed consumer prices growing at a slower pace than expected last month, bolstering the argument that inflation is decelerating. Yet some investors believe markets may have already accounted for a mild inflation slowdown and say further gains in stocks could depend on whether upcoming corporate earnings - especially results from banks - can beat forecasts. Earnings per share for the six largest U.S. banks are expected to fall 10% from the same quarter last year, according to Refinitv data. Overall, analysts expect S&P 500 earnings to fall 5.2% in the first quarter of 2023 from the year-ago period, I/B/E/S data from Refinitiv as of April 7 showed. That weakness would come on the heels of a 3.2% earnings fall in the fourth quarter of 2022, a back-to-back decline known as an earnings recession which has not occurred since COVID-19 blasted corporate results in 2020.
The S&P 500 is down 14.4% year-to-date. U.S. consumer prices rose less than expected in October, supporting the view that inflation was ebbing. Further ahead, some of Wall Street’s biggest banks are now forecasting that the Fed's monetary policy tightening will bring on a recession next year. In options markets, traders appear more preoccupied with not missing out on more gains in stocks than guarding against future declines. The one-month moving average of daily trading in bearish put contracts against bullish calls on the S&P 500 index-tracking SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust's options is at its lowest since January 2022, according to Trade Alert data.
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